Photo via. @TheAcademy on Twitter

With my much-written about bout of writer’s block this past year, I haven’t been covering this awards season as much. It’s a pity, because this one has been the most exciting in years. Usually by this time, at least three of the major categories have been completely decided. In 2013/14, Cate Blanchett only lost one award all season, there was no way she wasn’t getting up on stage on the big night. Same goes with 12 Years a Slave that year. Last year, Patricia Arquette rode a high all season, along with Julianne Moore and J.K. Simmons. By this time last year, Birdman had overtaken Boyhood. But there’s been no such certainty this season. This year has been filled with ups and downs. No film has started on top, or worked their way there. There’s been no wild takedown campaigns, because there’s been no film reigning supreme above everyone else to take down. It’s been all so wildly scattered that it’s been unpredictable. This is the first time in years that there is no idea of who is taking out the top categories (aside from Brie Larson, but that could change quickly). It’s exciting to see such change. So, in light of that, expect the nominations, which will be handed out in the very early hours of tomorrow morning Australian time, to be full of surprises. In this year more than any other, it’s time to throw your craziest bets out there, hence some of the weird picks here. But where’s the fun otherwise? So, here’s my best guess of what the above the line categories might look like, some completely expected, otherwise completely left field picks. Enjoy.

All are in alphabetical order.

Best Picture

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies



Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant



Look out for: PGA and SAG sweeper Straight Outta Compton and critical darling Inside Out



Best Director

Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant

Todd Haynes, Carol

George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

Ridley Scott, The Martian

Tom McCarthy, Spotlight or Adam McKay, The Big Short

Look out for: Lenny Abrahamson for Room, which features a very well received performance from 9-year-old Jacob Tremblay


Best Actress

Cate Blanchett, Carol

Brie Larson, Room

Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Look out for: Rooney Mara or Alicia Vikander, both have been nominated for both lead and supporting awards and could turn up hre or in the supporting category for their turns in Carol and The Danish Girl, respectively; and Charlize Theron for Fury Road


Best Actor

Steve Carrell, The Big Short

Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Matt Damon, The Martian

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

Look out for: Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Best Supporting Actress

Jane Fonda, Youth

Rooney Mara, Carol

Kristen Stewart, Clouds of Sils Maria

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Look out for: Joan Allen in Room, Jennifer Jason Leigh in The Hateful Eight, Rachel McAdams in Spotlight, Helen Mirren in Trumbo, Alicia Vikander in Ex Machina. Really, this category could go anywhere, Winslet is the surest bet (Mara and Vikander may end up in lead).

Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale, The Big Short

Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight

Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

Jacob Tremblay, Room

Look out for: Sylvester Stallone in Creed, Benicio Del Toro in Sicario, Tom Hardy in The Revenant, Michael Shannon in 99 Homes, Michael Keaton in Spotlight

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Big Short




Steve Jobs

Look out for: The Martian, The Revenant

Best Original Screenplay

Bridge of Spies

Ex Machina

The Hateful Eight

Inside Out


Look out for: Joy, Sicario, Son of Saul, Straight Outta Compton, Trainwreck

Best Animated Feature


The Good Dinosaur

Inside Out

The Peanuts Movie

Shaun the Sheep Movie

Look out for: When Marnie Was There, Boy and World

Best Foreign Language Film

Embrace the Serpent


Son of Saul


A War or Labyrinth of Lies

Look out for: The Brand New Testament, The Fencer

Best Documentary Feature


Going Clear

The Hunting Ground

The Look of Silence

What Happened, Miss Simone?

Look out for: Cartel Land, He Named Me Malala, The Best of Enemies, Heart of a Dog, Listen To Me Marlon


2 thoughts on “Oscar predictions 2016

  1. Oh man, did you see The Big Short’s PGA win? Did you like the film? I’d figure it’s going to be pretty strong now. I liked Room alot, so I’m going to be rooting for it in its categories

    1. Yes! Really threw a spanner in the works. I liked the film quite a lot, I have to finish my review of it haha. To me, it’s between Spotlight and The Big Short.

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